PNG URGED TO PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE EL NINO IMPACTS

PORT MORESBY, June 4, 2026 – The Executive Director of the Institute of National Affairs (INA), Paul Baker, has called on authorities across Papua New Guinea to strengthen preparations for a potential El Nino event, warning that an extended dry season could have serious consequences for water supplies, agriculture, health services, and electricity generation.

Mr. Baker stressed that early preparedness measures are critical to reducing the impact of drought conditions on communities and the national economy. He said national agencies, provincial governments, and key sectors must work together to ensure response systems are in place before dry conditions intensify.

Water security remains one of the biggest concerns, with households, farms, and hydroelectric power generation all heavily dependent on reliable water supplies.

“Preparedness involves establishing backup water supply systems and being ready to act when challenges arise,” Baker said.

He urged authorities to secure reserve water sources, improve irrigation infrastructure, and develop contingency plans for urban centres that rely on limited water supplies.

Baker also warned that prolonged dry conditions could place additional pressure on health facilities and schools, particularly in rural areas where access to water is already a challenge. He said lessons learned from previous drought events should guide current planning efforts.

In the energy sector, Baker advocated for greater investment in solar power to complement existing hydroelectric generation systems.

“During a prolonged dry season, we have the opportunity to strengthen electricity supply through solar energy. Investment in solar power is an important way to diversify energy generation,” he said.

He noted that diversification is equally important in agriculture, encouraging farmers to grow a range of crops, including drought-resistant varieties, to reduce the risk of food shortages.

While acknowledging the challenges associated with El Nino, Baker pointed out that some sectors may benefit from drier conditions. Coffee production, for example, has historically performed well during certain El Nino periods, helping growers maintain income even when food crop production declines.

Baker also raised concerns about increased fire risks during prolonged dry weather and urged communities to take extra precautions when using open flames near forests, gardens, and plantations.

“Preparedness and prevention are always better than reacting after problems occur. However, we must also ensure we are ready to respond when challenges arise,” he said.

With forecasts indicating the possibility of an El Nino event later this year, Baker said now is the time for governments, businesses, and communities to strengthen planning efforts to protect essential services, livelihoods, and water resources.